Yes, I am making a thread about the Oscars. If you don't like it, then please just go somewhere else. I don't even love the Oscars, but I thought it'd be fun to make some predictions. Feel free to make your opinions about who you think will win, who should win, and who should've got nominated.
BEST PICTURE
Everyone seems to be pointing to 12 Years a Slave winning, and I agree. It's very much an "important film" and it has won most of the other best picture prizes. But I'm not complaining; it's incredibly engaging and very moving. I wouldn't say it was an enjoyable film, but it is one of the best of 2013.
BEST DIRECTOR
Usually, the winner of the Best Picture and Best Director award go to the same movie. However, I predict that, similar to last year, the two awards will be split between the historical piece (King's Speech, Argo) and the big, effects-driven movie (Life of Pi). And so I'm sure that Gravity's Alfonso Cuaronwill win. Gravity was actually my favorite movie of 2013. I have no idea how Cuaron made that movie; it had to be made by only a mastermind. Cuaron is surely deserving of the award.
BEST ACTOR
I suspect that Matthew McConaughey (Dallas Buyers Club) will win. It was a very strong performance, the highlight of the movie actually, and he has won most of the awards, including the Globes, SAG, and BFCA. McCanughey has been really turning his career around, and after pulling off great performances in Magic Mike, Bernie, and Mud, he surely deserves recognition. But I was also really impressed by Leonardo DiCaprio (The Wolf of Wall Strett) and Chiwetel Ejiofor (12 Years a Slave), so I wouldn't be upset if either of them two won.
BEST ACTRESS
This category is pretty much a lock for Cate Blanchett (Blue Jasmine). In Woody Allen, we trust.
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
All signs seem to point to Jared Leto (Dallas Buyers Club) to win here. But I wasn't very impressed with him in the film. It was fine, and he got progressively better as the movie went on, but at times his character felt very stereotypical. I'd much rather see the award go to Michael Fassbender for 12 Years a Slave. He was incredibly scary.
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
I guess that most of the internet would want Jennifer Lawrence (American Hustle) to win, but I actually hope she loses. Everyone loves Lawrence so much right now that I feel like if she won the award, the backlash would begin to come against her. She's better off losing. And she's still got the two Hunger Games movies coming out. I doubt her career would be affected. My pick to win would be Lupita Nyong'o for 12 Years a Slave.
BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
To capitalize it's Best Picture win, and also to compensate for it's Best Director loss, I predict that 12 Years a Slave will take this one.
BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
Spike Jonze's Her screenplay has been getting a lot of awards recognition, but considering how most of the Academy are males older than 50 years old, I suspect that many of the voters won't "get" that movie. I feel like instead they will vote for American Hustle, as it seems like the Academy loved that movie a lot (it has 10 nominations), even thought it won't win any of the big categories.
BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM
Some has predicted that maybe The Hunt or The Broken Circle Breakdown could take the win, which I would not have a problem with. But my pick would have to go with The Great Beauty, directed by the legendary Paolo Sorrentino. The movie has won multiple foreign-film awards, including the Globes, for what it's worth.
BEST ANIMATED FEATURE
Now, it seems as though everybody predicts Frozen will win this one, but here me out. I have a theory as to why The Wind Rises will win this category. The movie has JUST been released into American theaters in the last couple weeks, so this movie will obviously be on a lot of people's minds, whereas Frozen has slowly been coming out of theaters (on a side note, Frozen just broke $1 billion!). The Wind Rises is more of an "important" movie, and with rumor that it's supposed to be Miyazaki's final movie, they may want to award him one last time. And not to mention, the Academy is all about equality. Since it seems as though Frozen's "Let It Go" is poised to win Best Original Song, in "Oscar logic", it would make since to give Wind Rises Best Animated Feature, that way both Frozen and The Wind Rises can both win.
BEST ANIMATED SHORT
The only nominee I've seen here is Disney's Get a Horse!, which is fine with me, since it's been predicted to win the Oscar anyway.
BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE
The race seems to be coming down between the musical documentary 20 Feet From Stardom and the controversial foreign documentaryThe Act of Killing. It may go either way, and it may go somewhere else (The Square maybe?), but I'm putting my imaginary money on The Act of Killing. In this category, the Academy don't seem to mind going a little more dangerously, and Act of Killing has been gathering many accolades.
BEST DOCUMENTARY SHORT
Most analysts predict that The Lady in Number 6: Music Saved My Life will win here. I'll take their word for it.
BEST LIVE-ACTION SHORT
It's usually impossible to predict the winner here. But word is that The Voorman Problem has a slight edge thanks to Martin Freeman appearing in it.
BEST ORIGINAL SCORE
An upset is possible, but I, and most people, are betting that Steven Price (Gravity) will win the Oscar for Best Score. And it is a wonderful score, along with Arcade Fire's soundtrack for Her. I highly recommend that you listen to both.
BEST ORIGINAL SONG
Let it go, let it go,
Frozen's song will take the gold.
Let it go, let it go,
Or else I'll burn down the show.
BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY
Gravity is expected to make a big awards sweep with the technical categories. See Avatar, Inception, Hugo, and Life of Pi. EmmanuelLubezki's Gravity cinematography will surely be one of the wins.
BEST COSTUME DESIGN
The Great Gatsby. The clothes! The lights! The champagne! The pearls! PEARLS! IN 3D I TELL YOU!
BEST FILM EDITING
This is actually one of the least predictable categories. But I'll play it safe and go with Gravity. You have to see the movie to understand why the editing is so great.
BEST MAKEUP & HAIRSTYLING
I doubt that the Academy members actually sought out to see The Lone Ranger or Bad Grandpa, so it looks like it's Dallas Buyers Club to lose. Can you imagine that though? "Johnny Knoxville, star of the Academy Award-winning film Bad Grandpa." The horror...
BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN
The Great Gatsby is predicted to win Best Production Design by most analysts, but I'm going to make a wild (kinda) call and go with 12 Years a Slave. It does look great, and I think that the Academy would want it's Best Picture winner to have at least one technical win. Gravity could win this as well, though, so anything's game.
BEST SOUND MIXING
Another one of Gravity's technical sweeps. The sound design is pretty rad.
BEST SOUND EDITING
Gravity. I have no idea why they split his category. It should just be called Best Sound, and that way, we can get another category, like say...oh I don't know...Best Stunt Choreography!
BEST VISUAL EFFECTS
Gravity has been predicted with this win since the trailer came out in summer.
So those are my predictions! Let's see tonight if i'm right or not.
It's Hollywood's biggest night! Will you be watching? I won't.
Yes, I am making a thread about the Oscars. If you don't like it, then please just go somewhere else. I don't even love the Oscars, but I thought it'd be fun to make some predictions. Feel free to make your opinions about who you think will win, who should win, and who should've got nominated.
BEST PICTURE
Everyone seems to be pointing to 12 Years a Slave winning, and I agree. It's very much an "important film" and it has won most of the other best picture prizes. But I'm not complaining; it's incredibly engaging and very moving. I wouldn't say it was an enjoyable film, but it is one of the best of 2013.
BEST DIRECTOR
Usually, the winner of the Best Picture and Best Director award go to the same movie. However, I predict that, similar to last year, the two awards will be split between the historical piece (King's Speech, Argo) and the big, effects-driven movie (Life of Pi). And so I'm sure that Gravity's Alfonso Cuaron will win. Gravity was actually my favorite movie of 2013. I have no idea how Cuaron made that movie; it had to be made by only a mastermind. Cuaron is surely deserving of the award.
BEST ACTOR
I suspect that Matthew McConaughey (Dallas Buyers Club) will win. It was a very strong performance, the highlight of the movie actually, and he has won most of the awards, including the Globes, SAG, and BFCA. McCanughey has been really turning his career around, and after pulling off great performances in Magic Mike, Bernie, and Mud, he surely deserves recognition. But I was also really impressed by Leonardo DiCaprio (The Wolf of Wall Strett) and Chiwetel Ejiofor (12 Years a Slave), so I wouldn't be upset if either of them two won.
BEST ACTRESS
This category is pretty much a lock for Cate Blanchett (Blue Jasmine). In Woody Allen, we trust.
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
All signs seem to point to Jared Leto (Dallas Buyers Club) to win here. But I wasn't very impressed with him in the film. It was fine, and he got progressively better as the movie went on, but at times his character felt very stereotypical. I'd much rather see the award go to Michael Fassbender for 12 Years a Slave. He was incredibly scary.
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
I guess that most of the internet would want Jennifer Lawrence (American Hustle) to win, but I actually hope she loses. Everyone loves Lawrence so much right now that I feel like if she won the award, the backlash would begin to come against her. She's better off losing. And she's still got the two Hunger Games movies coming out. I doubt her career would be affected. My pick to win would be Lupita Nyong'o for 12 Years a Slave.
BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
To capitalize it's Best Picture win, and also to compensate for it's Best Director loss, I predict that 12 Years a Slave will take this one.
BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
Spike Jonze's Her screenplay has been getting a lot of awards recognition, but considering how most of the Academy are males older than 50 years old, I suspect that many of the voters won't "get" that movie. I feel like instead they will vote for American Hustle, as it seems like the Academy loved that movie a lot (it has 10 nominations), even thought it won't win any of the big categories.
BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM
Some has predicted that maybe The Hunt or The Broken Circle Breakdown could take the win, which I would not have a problem with. But my pick would have to go with The Great Beauty, directed by the legendary Paolo Sorrentino. The movie has won multiple foreign-film awards, including the Globes, for what it's worth.
BEST ANIMATED FEATURE
Now, it seems as though everybody predicts Frozen will win this one, but here me out. I have a theory as to why The Wind Rises will win this category. The movie has JUST been released into American theaters in the last couple weeks, so this movie will obviously be on a lot of people's minds, whereas Frozen has slowly been coming out of theaters (on a side note, Frozen just broke $1 billion!). The Wind Rises is more of an "important" movie, and with rumor that it's supposed to be Miyazaki's final movie, they may want to award him one last time. And not to mention, the Academy is all about equality. Since it seems as though Frozen's "Let It Go" is poised to win Best Original Song, in "Oscar logic", it would make since to give Wind Rises Best Animated Feature, that way both Frozen and The Wind Rises can both win.
BEST ANIMATED SHORT
The only nominee I've seen here is Disney's Get a Horse!, which is fine with me, since it's been predicted to win the Oscar anyway.
BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE
The race seems to be coming down between the musical documentary 20 Feet From Stardom and the controversial foreign documentary The Act of Killing. It may go either way, and it may go somewhere else (The Square maybe?), but I'm putting my imaginary money on The Act of Killing. In this category, the Academy don't seem to mind going a little more dangerously, and Act of Killing has been gathering many accolades.
BEST DOCUMENTARY SHORT
Most analysts predict that The Lady in Number 6: Music Saved My Life will win here. I'll take their word for it.
BEST LIVE-ACTION SHORT
It's usually impossible to predict the winner here. But word is that The Voorman Problem has a slight edge thanks to Martin Freeman appearing in it.
BEST ORIGINAL SCORE
An upset is possible, but I, and most people, are betting that Steven Price (Gravity) will win the Oscar for Best Score. And it is a wonderful score, along with Arcade Fire's soundtrack for Her. I highly recommend that you listen to both.
BEST ORIGINAL SONG
Let it go, let it go,
Frozen's song will take the gold.
Let it go, let it go,
Or else I'll burn down the show.
BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY
Gravity is expected to make a big awards sweep with the technical categories. See Avatar, Inception, Hugo, and Life of Pi. Emmanuel Lubezki's Gravity cinematography will surely be one of the wins.
BEST COSTUME DESIGN
The Great Gatsby. The clothes! The lights! The champagne! The pearls! PEARLS! IN 3D I TELL YOU!
BEST FILM EDITING
This is actually one of the least predictable categories. But I'll play it safe and go with Gravity. You have to see the movie to understand why the editing is so great.
BEST MAKEUP & HAIRSTYLING
I doubt that the Academy members actually sought out to see The Lone Ranger or Bad Grandpa, so it looks like it's Dallas Buyers Club to lose. Can you imagine that though? "Johnny Knoxville, star of the Academy Award-winning film Bad Grandpa." The horror...
BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN
The Great Gatsby is predicted to win Best Production Design by most analysts, but I'm going to make a wild (kinda) call and go with 12 Years a Slave. It does look great, and I think that the Academy would want it's Best Picture winner to have at least one technical win. Gravity could win this as well, though, so anything's game.
BEST SOUND MIXING
Another one of Gravity's technical sweeps. The sound design is pretty rad.
BEST SOUND EDITING
Gravity. I have no idea why they split his category. It should just be called Best Sound, and that way, we can get another category, like say...oh I don't know...Best Stunt Choreography!
BEST VISUAL EFFECTS
Gravity has been predicted with this win since the trailer came out in summer.
So those are my predictions! Let's see tonight if i'm right or not.
It's Hollywood's biggest night! Will you be watching? I won't.