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Hurricane Sandy has a high chance of approaching the Northeast and is gonna probably affect the entire East coast.

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Last year it was Hurricane Irene, now it's Hurricane Sandy Cheeks.

Sandy has a HUGE chance of dealing actual damage towards the Northeast, maybe not directly, but it will be close enough to throw huge gusts of wind here. Now it may not me a tropical storm once it reaches here, where it says here:

http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/tracking/at201218_5day.html

(In order to understand it, the bigger the circle it is the lesser confidence it has of where exactly it will be in that circle)


It has a chance of combining itself with a Nor'easter, which is a storm that is coming near here by a low trough (aka winter-rain stormy stuff. If it does do that, it will automatically become a lot more dangerous, become a hurricane and possibly a major one and impact the Northeast.


I am making this thread for the people living from North Carolina to New England, maybe even Canada.

Here are some sites where you can check out weather and most specifically, Hurricane stuff:

http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/

http://www.weather.com/

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/


Ill copy and paste some stuff from these sites and other news articles about it. c:

Ill also keep this updated if anyone cares.






The chances of an extremely powerful storm affecting New Jersey early next week have increased considerably in the last 24 hours, according to the National Weather Service.

All eyes are fixed on now Hurricane Sandy, churning slowly northward in the southern Caribbean, which is expected to play a crucial role in the potential development of a powerful nor’easter that could begin affecting the Garden State as early as Sunday.

“The risk has gone up,” said Gary Szatkowski, the meteorologist in charge at the National Weather Service’s Mount Holly office. “This is a dangerous situation.”

Szatkowski said the number of forecast models and instruments indicating the possibility for New Jersey to be affected by a major storm have increased significantly since Tuesday. Under the worst case scenario, Sandy could merge with a developing nor’easter, adding tropical moisture to an already powerful storm and pummeling New Jersey over a period of several days with hurricane-force winds, torrential rain and severe coastal and inland flooding.

Szatkowski cautioned that much is still uncertain and forecasts can change in the coming days, but the potential for such a storm needs to be taken seriously.

“This is a very dangerous storm wherever it winds up, the problem is we don’t know where exactly it’s going to end up,” he said. “The east coast has a pretty good shot at getting affected by this though, and that’s one of the reasons this needs to be taken very seriously.”

A number of factors are working against the Garden State as this situation develops, the weather service said.

First, the storm is expected to affect the region during a full moon, when the tides are highest, increasing the possibility of a major coastal flooding event. Second, the storm is forecast to move very slowly through the region, potentially affecting the state with high winds and flooding rains for several days. Lastly, unlike a hurricane, winds can extend very far from the center of a nor’easter, increasing the chances that the state could experience wind damage even if the storm develops further off the coast.

“There’s been some discussion about whether it’s going to be tropical or non-tropical by the time it gets up here,” he Szatkowski said. “But that’s really a labeling thing. Whether it’s a tropical system with hurricane-force winds or a nor’easter with hurricane-force winds, I’m not sure it matters much.”

In response to the threat, New Jersey’s emergency management officials have started to warn residents about the potential for a major storm.

“This storm has the potential to affect the east coast from Florida all the way to New York within the next week,” Monmouth County Sheriff Shaun Golden said. “I urge residents to prepare, plan and stay informed about the coming hurricane.”



Source: http://www.nj.com/weather-guy/index.ssf/2012/10/chances_of_nj_being_affected_b.html


Hurricane Sandy hit the southeastern tip of Jamaica near 3:20 pm EDT this afternoon, as a Category 1 hurricane with 80 mph winds and a 973 mb pressure. According to NOAA's Historical Hurricane Tracks website, Sandy is the thirteenth hurricane to make a direct hit on the island, and the first since Hurricane Gilbert of 1988. Kingston, Jamaica recorded sustained winds of 44 mph and a pressure of 972 mb in the west eyewall of Sandy at 4 pm EDT. The eastern tip of Jamaica will see the strongest winds of the right-front quadrant and the heaviest damage, though. A distorted eye is apparent on visible satellite loops, but Sandy is showing only minor disruption to its inner core structure as a result of hitting Jamaica. According to the Jamaica Observer, "Alligator Pond [in St Elizabeth] was inundated with the high waves that came ashore. We are now getting reports of impacts out in St. Catherine, Portland and St. Thomas as the ground becomes saturated. We are now seeing where light poles are toppling and landslides being reported and roadway being flooded to the point where there is impeded access in east St. Thomas." Heavy rains from Sandy are falling in Haiti. A NOAA forecast based on microwave satellite data predicts 12 inches of rain for the tip of Haiti's southwestern Peninsula, which will likely cause life-threatening flash flooding. Fortunately, much lighter rainfall amounts are predicted for the capital of Port-au-Prince, where 350,000 people still live in the open under tarps in the wake of the January 2010 earthquake. In August, flooding from Hurricane Isaac killed at least 29 people in Haiti.
Near-term forecast for Sandy
Sandy doesn't have much time over water before it makes landfall on the southeastern coast of Cuba near 10 pm EDT this Wednesday night, and the strongest the storm is likely to be then is a 90 mph Category 1. Passage over the rugged terrain of Cuba should weaken Sandy's winds by 20 - 30 mph, and will likely destroy the hurricane's eyewall. It will be difficult for the storm to rebuild its eyewall and regain all of that lost strength, in the face of the high wind shear of 20 - 30 knots it will encounter Thursday and Friday. However, the loss of the eyewall will cause Sandy's radius of tropical storm-force winds to expand, spreading out the winds over a wider area of ocean, and increasing the storm surge threat. This large wind field will likely drive a storm surge of 5 - 8 feet in the Bahamas, which is more characteristic of a storm with winds 20 mph higher. I expect that Sandy will be a 65 - 70 mph tropical storm as it traverses the Bahamas, and the storm will make its closest pass by Nassau around 10 pm EDT Thursday.
Sandy: a potential billion-dollar storm for the mid-Atlantic, New England, and Canada
The latest set of 12Z (8 am EDT) model runs are in, and they portray an increased risk to the U.S. and Canadian East Coasts for early next week. The GFS model, which had been showing that Sandy would head to the northeast out to sea, now has changed its tune, and predicts that Sandy will double back and hit Maine on Tuesday evening. The ECMWF model, which has been very consistent in its handling of Sandy, now has the storm hitting Delaware on Monday afternoon. These models are predicting that Sandy will get caught up by the trough approaching the Eastern U.S., which will inject a large amount of energy into the storm, converting it to a powerful subtropical storm with a central pressure below 960 mb and sustained winds of 60 - 70 mph. Winds of this strength would likely cause massive power outages, as trees still in leaf take out power lines. Also of great concern are Sandy's rains. Given that ocean temperatures along the Northeast U.S. coast are about 5°F above average, there will be an unusually large amount of water vapor available to make heavy rain. If the trough of low pressure approaching the East Coast taps into the large reservoir of cold air over Canada and pulls down a significant amount of Arctic air, as predicted, the potential exists for the unusually moist air from Sandy to collide with this cold air from Canada and unleash the heaviest October rains ever recorded in the Northeast U.S. Another huge concern is storm surge flooding. Sandy is expected to have tropical storm-force winds that extend out more than 300 miles from the center, which will drive a much larger storm surge than its winds would ordinarily suggest. The full moon is on Monday, which means astronomical tides will be at their peak for the month, increasing potential storm surge flooding.

There remains a lot of model uncertainty on where Sandy might go, and I still give a 30% chance that the storm will have a minimal impact on the U.S. An extra set of balloon-borne radiosondes is going to be launched at 2 pm EDT on Thursday all across the U.S., which should help tomorrow evening's model runs make better forecasts of where Sandy might go. Extra radiosondes will be launched every 6 hours through Saturday afternoon.


Source: http://www.wunderground.com/blog/JeffMasters/comment.html?entrynum=2272






Sandy has the potential to bring significant impacts to the U.S. East Coast through the weekend and into early next week.

Let's break down the timeline for Sandy, starting with its Caribbean and Southeast U.S. impacts, then going into the potential serious threat the system poses to the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast.


From early Thursday through Friday, Sandy will track from eastern Cuba to the Bahamas.

Other than potential hurricane-force winds in Jamaica, eastern Cuba and the Bahamas as the center passes through those locations, another major threat from Sandy will be heavy rain, flash flooding, and mudslides, generally to the north and east of the center's track.

This is particularly a concern over the higher terrain of Jamaica, eastern Cuba, Haiti and the Dominican Republic. Heavy rain will also soak much of the Bahamas to the tune of 5-10" or more.

Since Sandy is expected to be a large system, it will also have impacts along the Southeast coast into Saturday.

Although Sandy's center is expected to remain well off the Southeast coast Friday into Saturday, it will bring peripheral effects.

The pressure gradient between Sandy and high pressure in the Northeast U.S. will lead to increasingly strong winds over the Florida Peninsula, spreading northward to the Outer Banks of North Carolina and Virginia Beach through at least Saturday

Rip currents, high surf, and, eventually, some coastal flooding are possible in areas of the most persistent onshore flow. Bands of rain on the outer periphery of the circulation will occasionally wrap into the coast, as well.

Wind gusts could reach 40 to 50 mph along Florida's eastern coast later Thursday into Friday.






As we head from late weekend into early next week, our focus turns to the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast,where Sandy could be a serious threat.



Forecast guidance is indicating that the steering pattern for Sandy is setting up to be a potential major concern for the Northeast and Mid-Atlantic.

A so-called "blocking pattern" in the upper levels of the atmosphere over the Atlantic appears to be strong enough that it will not allow the storm to turn east into the open Atlantic, but, rather, drive northward just off the East Coast.

Furthermore, the upper-level trough in the polar jet stream will provide an additional turbo-charged boost to this low, producing an intense, East Coast storm!


High winds, heavy rain, major coastal flooding and beach erosion could pummel portions of the Northeast seaboard early next week. Of course, the high winds would extend inland, with the potential for downed trees and powerlines.

This setup could even wrap in just enough cold air on its western edge to produce wet snow, possibly heavy, in some areas of the eastern Great Lakes and Appalachians! Eerily, this would take place around the one-year anniversary of the "Snowtober" snowstorm.


Residents of the Northeast and Mid-Atlantic should remain vigilant and be prepared to take action in the next few days.

Details of exactly where the worst impacts will be felt are highly uncertain at this time.

We'll continue to refine our forecast here at weather.com and The Weather Channel. Check back with us often as this potentially major storm unfolds.





Source: http://www.weather.com/news/weather-hurricanes/tropics-scenarios-us-threat-20121022?pageno=1

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It is probably coming on Monday or early Tuesday.

I hope you guys don't get hurt in any way.

Also if you have any questions to ask, then ask them here and I will try my best to help. c:

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I live in Veracruz, Mexico... so I´m safe, but as in my country Hurricanes are a common event, we know the consecuences of these so, be careful :)

 

Yeah I know hurricanes that hit Mexico xD

one might develop soon

 

thanks :3<3

Yeah I know hurricanes that hit Mexico xD

one might develop soon

 

thanks :3<3

 

You´re Welcome... I suposse? heheh

Hurricane Sandy in a nutshell

 

I had to.

Posted Image

 

But in all honestly, so long as my family doesn't get hurt, I really wouldn't mind a good storm. I rather enjoy listening to the wind and rain pounding down on the roof.

I had to.

Posted Image

 

But in all honestly, so long as my family doesn't get hurt, I really wouldn't mind a good storm. I rather enjoy listening to the wind and rain pounding down on the roof.

 

I already did ^that first.

 

http-~~-//www.youtube.com/watch?v=v-DcdH5NRxk

Edited by Alan Smithee

I already did ^that first.

 

Didn't see it, whoops o.o

  • Author

Bad news.

 

Sandy is almost done creating her new eyewall, which will make her go rapid intensification. She has time to intensify, meaning she will become even more stronger than she already is. She might have time, she has a big chance of pulling more suprises since she has done that since the time she was formed. Be sure to stay safe guys!

 

 

 

ALSO

 

If you have to evacuate, then evacuate. DO NOT go to low elevation areas. They are never good, due to the fact the storms strength is mostly in surges.

 

It'd be nice to take pictures and videos of the storm! Thank you very much :3

Post it here.

Edited by Shana09

  • Author

EVEN MORE BAD NEWS

 

As NY, NJ, Delaware and even more states in the Mid-Atlantic and the Northeast feel the impacts of the storm, just know this storm is still strengthening Proof? Well it's a Category 1 85 mph sustained winds storm, which it intensified by 10 mph sustained winds. BUT they found 100+mph wind as of now, so it's strengthening, and it could be way stronger than it is now. Also the worst is coming at night, also around 3 PM (For me in NYC) when the squalls came, which doubles the rain and wind you are getting now.

I CALL HAX

 

EVEN MORE BAD NEWS

 

As NY, NJ, Delaware and even more states in the Mid-Atlantic and the Northeast feel the impacts of the storm, just know this storm is still strengthening Proof? Well it's a Category 1 85 mph sustained winds storm, which it intensified by 10 mph sustained winds. BUT they found 100+mph wind as of now, so it's strengthening, and it could be way stronger than it is now. Also the worst is coming at night, also around 3 PM (For me in NYC) when the squalls came, which doubles the rain and wind you are getting now.

 

So does this mean no school :3 I sound so heartless right nao lol
  • Author

 

So does this mean no school :3 I sound so heartless right nao lol

 

xD its alright

 

today, obviously no thanks to obama

tomorrow, we gotta see todays impacts first

xD its alright

 

today, obviously no thanks to obama

tomorrow, we gotta see todays impacts first

 

We must wait then ;-;
  • Author

Perfect Summary whats happening and happened to Sandy since the day she was born:

 

It appears Sandy has about 4 hours left before crossing the sharp SST gradient defining the Gulf Stream. That will signal the end of intensifying any further, tropically. But this is when baroclinic energy will really start hitting the storm.

 

It almost defies logic, this storm. Think about it...

 

For the last 4 days there's been something going against this storm which would have killed off most other storms but, conversely, there was also some atmospheric mechanism at play counteracting its main hindrance.

 

It went through the roughest terrain of Cuba, but did so as an intensifying, accelerating storm. Came through on the other side only 5kt weaker than she went in.

 

Then Sandy met the upper low over the southeastern Gulf. Extremely dry air through a deep layer of the atmosphere, 50kts of shear. Piece of cake. She'll just place herself within the divergent sector of the shear pattern to maintain.

 

Found a small niche and changed just enough, structurally, to develop an inner core just as she hit the Gulf Stream, to maximize as best a storm of this size could, the additional heat energy provided.

 

This brings us to where we are at present and in the near future. Leaving the Gulf Stream, yes, but entering a baroclinic environment ripe for explosive development of a cyclone transitioning from tropical to extra-tropical.

 

Every time this storm met a challenge; mountains, shear, dry air, cold waters, it not only shrugged it off, but grew stronger. It's like this storm is destined to chart a course for the worst-case scenario.

 

That brings us to tonight when the storm is expected to make landfall. High tide. High astronomical tide. Right angle to the coastline. Bottlenecks and bays. Most densely populated region of the country. Record IKE. A once-in-200 year wind event in a region inland clear cut since the last big event such as this (before any reliable records were kept).

 

This is as bad as it gets. A true worst-case scenario.

 

Think about how bad this may get. A nighttime surge in a massive region likely to be pitch black from loss of power. Inland, people stranded on roads by multiple trees blocking both ways of the road. If you're in this situation on a rural road. It may be days before you're cut out of there because main roads will also be cut by fallen trees, power lines, floods, etc. Do not leave your house for this storm unless you're being evacuated. You will be risking your life outside today and tonight.

inb4 no one gets what this posts just said

google search will suffice

  • Author

New Canadian Report:

WOCN31 CWHX 291145

Tropical cyclone information statement updated by the Canadian

Hurricane Centre of Environment Canada at 8:52 AM ADT Monday

29 October 2012.

------------------------------------------------- --------------------

Tropical cyclone information statement for:

Nova Scotia

New Brunswick

Southern Quebec

Southern Ontario.

 

For hurricane Sandy.

 

The next statement will be issued by 3:00 PM ADT.

 

Large and dangerous hurricane Sandy beginning to turn toward

The U.S. coastline. Southern Ontario, Southern Quebec and

Southwestern Maritimes will experience high wind gusts and

Periods of heavy rain beginning later today and continuing into

Tuesday.

 

------------------------------------------------- --------------------

==discussion==

1. Summary of basic information at 9.00 AM ADT.

 

Location: near 36.8 north 71.1 west, or about 490 kilometres

south-southeast of New York City.

 

Maximum sustained winds: 140 km/h.

 

Present movement: north at 32 km/h.

 

Minimum central pressure: 946 MB.

 

2. Public weather impacts and warnings summary.

 

Hurricane Sandy intensified slightly overnight and continues to be an

extremely large and dangerous tropical cyclone. Sandy has turned

northward and will turn northwestward today while maintaining

hurricane intensity. Sandy is forecast to gradually undergo

extra-tropical transition as it heads toward the New Jersey coast.

It is possible that Sandy could strengthen further prior to moving

inland tonight.

 

It is important to emphasize that impacts from post-tropical Sandy

extend over an extremely large area well away from the storm center.

It is advised that persons in the above listed regions pay close

attention to messages from the Canadian Hurricane Centre, as well as

information from regional storm prediction centres for the latest

official forecasts and warnings for your area.

 

For additional information please refer to warning bulletins issued

this morning by the Ontario storm prediction centre and the Quebec

storm prediction centre.

 

A. Rainfall.

 

Rain directly related to post-tropical Sandy will begin to affect

Southern Ontario later this afternoon with the heaviest bands

reaching the province this evening and overnight into Tuesday. Latest

indications are that general amounts of 20 to 40 millimetres are

possible with locally higher amounts in excess of 50 millimetres

possible. Rainfall amounts could vary greatly with location depending

on the movement of some of the smaller heavier rainbands with this

system.

 

Periods of heavy rain will affect Southern and Central Quebec

starting this evening. Amounts of 20 to 40 millimetres are expected

with higher amounts possible over higher terrain.

 

The precipitation could mix with or change to snow over parts of

Ontario and extreme Western Quebec as temperatures approach the

freezing mark north and west of the storm.

 

Rain is not expected to reach the southwestern Maritimes until

Tuesday morning but could persist into Wednesday from a developing

frontal system not directly associated with Sandy. Amounts could be

significant and total amounts could exceed 50 millimetres through

Wednesday.

 

B. Winds.

 

The Quebec storm prediction centre has issued wind warnings for

Parts of the St Lawrence River Valley beginning later today. The

Ontario storm prediction centre has issued wind warnings for

Adjacent areas of the St Lawrence Valley as well as other parts of

Southern Ontario for high wind gusts beginning later tonight and

continuing on Tuesday.

 

Over Southern Ontario, gusts to 90 km/h or higher are likely

especially along Western Lake Ontario and the Niagara Escarpment as

well as areas adjacent to Lake Huron and Georgian Bay. These wind

gusts have the potential to cause broken tree limbs or in some cases

uprooted trees which may result in downed utility lines. Residual

falling leaves can also obstruct storm water drainage systems along

roadways particularly in urban areas. This combined with heavy

rainfall could increase the risk of flooding in some areas.

 

Very strong northeast winds will affect Southern Quebec starting

This evening and persisting Tuesday morning. The strongest winds are

expected in the St Lawrence Valley where gusts could also exceed

90 km/h.

 

Gusty winds can also be expected in the Maritimes starting Monday

afternoon and persisting Tuesday. Gusts up to 80 km/h are expected

along coastal areas of Southwestern Nova Scotia, with slightly lower

winds expected further to the north and east.

 

C. Waves.

 

Large waves are very likely over portions of the Great Lakes

beginning later today and into Tuesday. High seastates up to 7 metres

are possible over Southern Lake Huron.

 

There will be large waves and pounding surf along the

Atlantic coast of Nova Scotia. Seastates near Southwestern Nova

Scotia will be in the 5 to 7 metre range and seas father offshore

will be near 9 metres. This could result in locally elevated water

levels along the south shore.

 

3. Marine weather impacts and warnings summary.

 

Gale and storm force wind warnings are in effect for western

Maritimes marine areas for today and tonight. Gale and storm force

wind warnings are also in effect most of the Great Lakes.

 

Gale force winds extend several hundred kilometres outward from the

center of Sandy's circulation and have already reached southwestern

maritime marine waters. Winds over Georges Bank could reach up to 60

knots by noon today.

 

Also, higher than normal water levels are expected on the St Lawrence

River during high tide this evening and especially Tuesday evening.

This could result in coastal flooding in the Quebec City region.

 

 

Visit weatheroffice.Gc.Ca/hurricane (all in lower case) for the

latest:

 

- forecast position, central pressure table.

 

- strength and predicted wind radii table.

 

- hurricane track information map.

 

- technical discussion.

 

Please also refer to the public and marine forecasts and warnings

issued by Environment Canada for your area.

 

End

I've never experienced a hurricane, but I DID experience Earthquakes. Stay safe people~

 

While I sit here with the entire West Coast laughing at all of you people suffering from the wrath of Sandy.

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