Last year it was Hurricane Irene, now it's Hurricane Sandy Cheeks.

Sandy has a HUGE chance of dealing actual damage towards the Northeast, maybe not directly, but it will be close enough to throw huge gusts of wind here. Now it may not me a tropical storm once it reaches here, where it says here:

http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/tracking/at201218_5day.html

(In order to understand it, the bigger the circle it is the lesser confidence it has of where exactly it will be in that circle)

It has a chance of combining itself with a Nor'easter, which is a storm that is coming near here by a low trough (aka winter-rain stormy stuff. If it does do that, it will automatically become a lot more dangerous, become a hurricane and possibly a major one and impact the Northeast.

I am making this thread for the people living from North Carolina to New England, maybe even Canada.

Here are some sites where you can check out weather and most specifically, Hurricane stuff:

http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/

http://www.weather.com/

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/

Ill copy and paste some stuff from these sites and other news articles about it. c:

Ill also keep this updated if anyone cares.

The chances of an extremely powerful storm affecting New Jersey early next week have increased considerably in the last 24 hours, according to the National Weather Service.
All eyes are fixed on now Hurricane Sandy, churning slowly northward in the southern Caribbean, which is expected to play a crucial role in the potential development of a powerful nor’easter that could begin affecting the Garden State as early as Sunday.
“The risk has gone up,” said Gary Szatkowski, the meteorologist in charge at the National Weather Service’s Mount Holly office. “This is a dangerous situation.”
Szatkowski said the number of forecast models and instruments indicating the possibility for New Jersey to be affected by a major storm have increased significantly since Tuesday. Under the worst case scenario, Sandy could merge with a developing nor’easter, adding tropical moisture to an already powerful storm and pummeling New Jersey over a period of several days with hurricane-force winds, torrential rain and severe coastal and inland flooding.
Szatkowski cautioned that much is still uncertain and forecasts can change in the coming days, but the potential for such a storm needs to be taken seriously.
“This is a very dangerous storm wherever it winds up, the problem is we don’t know where exactly it’s going to end up,” he said. “The east coast has a pretty good shot at getting affected by this though, and that’s one of the reasons this needs to be taken very seriously.”
A number of factors are working against the Garden State as this situation develops, the weather service said.
First, the storm is expected to affect the region during a full moon, when the tides are highest, increasing the possibility of a major coastal flooding event. Second, the storm is forecast to move very slowly through the region, potentially affecting the state with high winds and flooding rains for several days. Lastly, unlike a hurricane, winds can extend very far from the center of a nor’easter, increasing the chances that the state could experience wind damage even if the storm develops further off the coast.
“There’s been some discussion about whether it’s going to be tropical or non-tropical by the time it gets up here,” he Szatkowski said. “But that’s really a labeling thing. Whether it’s a tropical system with hurricane-force winds or a nor’easter with hurricane-force winds, I’m not sure it matters much.”
In response to the threat, New Jersey’s emergency management officials have started to warn residents about the potential for a major storm.
“This storm has the potential to affect the east coast from Florida all the way to New York within the next week,” Monmouth County Sheriff Shaun Golden said. “I urge residents to prepare, plan and stay informed about the coming hurricane.”

Source: http://www.nj.com/weather-guy/index.ssf/2012/10/chances_of_nj_being_affected_b.html

Hurricane Sandy hit the southeastern tip of Jamaica near 3:20 pm EDT this afternoon, as a Category 1 hurricane with 80 mph winds and a 973 mb pressure. According to NOAA's Historical Hurricane Tracks website, Sandy is the thirteenth hurricane to make a direct hit on the island, and the first since Hurricane Gilbert of 1988. Kingston, Jamaica recorded sustained winds of 44 mph and a pressure of 972 mb in the west eyewall of Sandy at 4 pm EDT. The eastern tip of Jamaica will see the strongest winds of the right-front quadrant and the heaviest damage, though. A distorted eye is apparent on visible satellite loops, but Sandy is showing only minor disruption to its inner core structure as a result of hitting Jamaica. According to the Jamaica Observer, "Alligator Pond [in St Elizabeth] was inundated with the high waves that came ashore. We are now getting reports of impacts out in St. Catherine, Portland and St. Thomas as the ground becomes saturated. We are now seeing where light poles are toppling and landslides being reported and roadway being flooded to the point where there is impeded access in east St. Thomas." Heavy rains from Sandy are falling in Haiti. A NOAA forecast based on microwave satellite data predicts 12 inches of rain for the tip of Haiti's southwestern Peninsula, which will likely cause life-threatening flash flooding. Fortunately, much lighter rainfall amounts are predicted for the capital of Port-au-Prince, where 350,000 people still live in the open under tarps in the wake of the January 2010 earthquake. In August, flooding from Hurricane Isaac killed at least 29 people in Haiti.
Near-term forecast for Sandy
Sandy doesn't have much time over water before it makes landfall on the southeastern coast of Cuba near 10 pm EDT this Wednesday night, and the strongest the storm is likely to be then is a 90 mph Category 1. Passage over the rugged terrain of Cuba should weaken Sandy's winds by 20 - 30 mph, and will likely destroy the hurricane's eyewall. It will be difficult for the storm to rebuild its eyewall and regain all of that lost strength, in the face of the high wind shear of 20 - 30 knots it will encounter Thursday and Friday. However, the loss of the eyewall will cause Sandy's radius of tropical storm-force winds to expand, spreading out the winds over a wider area of ocean, and increasing the storm surge threat. This large wind field will likely drive a storm surge of 5 - 8 feet in the Bahamas, which is more characteristic of a storm with winds 20 mph higher. I expect that Sandy will be a 65 - 70 mph tropical storm as it traverses the Bahamas, and the storm will make its closest pass by Nassau around 10 pm EDT Thursday.
Sandy: a potential billion-dollar storm for the mid-Atlantic, New England, and Canada
The latest set of 12Z (8 am EDT) model runs are in, and they portray an increased risk to the U.S. and Canadian East Coasts for early next week. The GFS model, which had been showing that Sandy would head to the northeast out to sea, now has changed its tune, and predicts that Sandy will double back and hit Maine on Tuesday evening. The ECMWF model, which has been very consistent in its handling of Sandy, now has the storm hitting Delaware on Monday afternoon. These models are predicting that Sandy will get caught up by the trough approaching the Eastern U.S., which will inject a large amount of energy into the storm, converting it to a powerful subtropical storm with a central pressure below 960 mb and sustained winds of 60 - 70 mph. Winds of this strength would likely cause massive power outages, as trees still in leaf take out power lines. Also of great concern are Sandy's rains. Given that ocean temperatures along the Northeast U.S. coast are about 5°F above average, there will be an unusually large amount of water vapor available to make heavy rain. If the trough of low pressure approaching the East Coast taps into the large reservoir of cold air over Canada and pulls down a significant amount of Arctic air, as predicted, the potential exists for the unusually moist air from Sandy to collide with this cold air from Canada and unleash the heaviest October rains ever recorded in the Northeast U.S. Another huge concern is storm surge flooding. Sandy is expected to have tropical storm-force winds that extend out more than 300 miles from the center, which will drive a much larger storm surge than its winds would ordinarily suggest. The full moon is on Monday, which means astronomical tides will be at their peak for the month, increasing potential storm surge flooding.

There remains a lot of model uncertainty on where Sandy might go, and I still give a 30% chance that the storm will have a minimal impact on the U.S. An extra set of balloon-borne radiosondes is going to be launched at 2 pm EDT on Thursday all across the U.S., which should help tomorrow evening's model runs make better forecasts of where Sandy might go. Extra radiosondes will be launched every 6 hours through Saturday afternoon.

Source: http://www.wunderground.com/blog/JeffMasters/comment.html?entrynum=2272

Sandy has the potential to bring significant impacts to the U.S. East Coast through the weekend and into early next week.
Let's break down the timeline for Sandy, starting with its Caribbean and Southeast U.S. impacts, then going into the potential serious threat the system poses to the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast.

From early Thursday through Friday, Sandy will track from eastern Cuba to the Bahamas.
Other than potential hurricane-force winds in Jamaica, eastern Cuba and the Bahamas as the center passes through those locations, another major threat from Sandy will be heavy rain, flash flooding, and mudslides, generally to the north and east of the center's track.
This is particularly a concern over the higher terrain of Jamaica, eastern Cuba, Haiti and the Dominican Republic. Heavy rain will also soak much of the Bahamas to the tune of 5-10" or more.
Since Sandy is expected to be a large system, it will also have impacts along the Southeast coast into Saturday.
Although Sandy's center is expected to remain well off the Southeast coast Friday into Saturday, it will bring peripheral effects.
The pressure gradient between Sandy and high pressure in the Northeast U.S. will lead to increasingly strong winds over the Florida Peninsula, spreading northward to the Outer Banks of North Carolina and Virginia Beach through at least Saturday
Rip currents, high surf, and, eventually, some coastal flooding are possible in areas of the most persistent onshore flow. Bands of rain on the outer periphery of the circulation will occasionally wrap into the coast, as well.
Wind gusts could reach 40 to 50 mph along Florida's eastern coast later Thursday into Friday.





As we head from late weekend into early next week, our focus turns to the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast,where Sandy could be a serious threat.


Forecast guidance is indicating that the steering pattern for Sandy is setting up to be a potential major concern for the Northeast and Mid-Atlantic.
A so-called "blocking pattern" in the upper levels of the atmosphere over the Atlantic appears to be strong enough that it will not allow the storm to turn east into the open Atlantic, but, rather, drive northward just off the East Coast.
Furthermore, the upper-level trough in the polar jet stream will provide an additional turbo-charged boost to this low, producing an intense, East Coast storm!

High winds, heavy rain, major coastal flooding and beach erosion could pummel portions of the Northeast seaboard early next week. Of course, the high winds would extend inland, with the potential for downed trees and powerlines.
This setup could even wrap in just enough cold air on its western edge to produce wet snow, possibly heavy, in some areas of the eastern Great Lakes and Appalachians! Eerily, this would take place around the one-year anniversary of the "Snowtober" snowstorm.

Residents of the Northeast and Mid-Atlantic should remain vigilant and be prepared to take action in the next few days.
Details of exactly where the worst impacts will be felt are highly uncertain at this time.
We'll continue to refine our forecast here at weather.com and The Weather Channel. Check back with us often as this potentially major storm unfolds.

Source: http://www.weather.com/news/weather-hurricanes/tropics-scenarios-us-threat-20121022?pageno=1

Images:

It is probably coming on Monday or early Tuesday.

I hope you guys don't get hurt in any way.

Also if you have any questions to ask, then ask them here and I will try my best to help. c:

Source: http://www.weather.c...rstorm-20121027

 

5 Reasons why Hurricane Sandy will be "Epic"

(??? why epic whoever made this?)

1)Hurricane Sandy is moving very slowly toward the north-northeast and is expected to continue its current path parallel to the Carolinas over the weekend, forecasters say. At some point, probably Monday, Sandy will begin to turn back toward the coast and eventually make landfall near Delaware or New Jersey.

At some point before or after landfall, it's expected to become what's known as an extratropical storm. Unlike a tropical system like a hurricane, which gets its power from warm ocean waters, extratropical systems are driven by temperature contrasts in the atmosphere. During its transition from tropical to extratropical,

Sandy could be getting energy from both sources, helping to develop it even further. Although Sandy is currently a hurricane, it's important not to focus too much on its official category or its precise path. It's a massive system that will affect a huge swath of the East Coast, regardless of exactly where it hits or its precise wind speed.

 

2)As part of Sandy’s transition to an extratropical storm, it is expected to merge with a wintry system from the west, at which point it will become the powerful superstorm that has forecasters and officials all along the Eastern Seaboard on edge. Winds from that western system, which left snow in Kila, Mont. shown above, are what will help pull Sandy back toward the U.S. mainland from the open waters of the Atlantic.

 

3)Frigid air coming south from Canada also is expected to get ingested into Sandy, which will only help to strengthen the storm further and create winter storm conditions for some in the storm’s path.

Officials are bracing for the worst: nearly a foot of rain, high winds and up to 2 feet of snow in the highest parts of the Appalachian Mountains from West Virginia to North Carolina.

 

4) Further complicating matters is the possibility for dangerous storm surges: A full moon means the tides will be higher than usual, which will make it easier for the storm's powerful winds to push water into low-lying areas. That, coupled with the very long periods of battering waves along some parts of the shore due to the immense size of Sandy and the threat of several inches of rain, has officials working to shore up flood and coastal defenses.

 

5)Storms in recent years have left hundreds of thousands of people along the East Coast without power, sometimes for days at a time. Utilities have been bringing in extra crews and lining up tree trimmers so they're prepared, and with good reason.

The superstorm brings two possibilities for knocking out electricity. For one, hurricane-force winds of at 74 mph could send tree branches into power lines, or even topple entire trees and power poles. Those left standing could succumb to snow, which could weigh down still-leafy branches enough to also topple trees.

Millions of people are expected to lose power at some point during Sandy and many of those folks will likely not have power restored for many days.

Edited October 27, 201212 yr by Shana09

I honestly hope its a big storm. I may or may not have saved 2 weeks of schoolwork to be completed within a 48 hour timeframe.

I honestly hope its a big storm. I may or may not have saved 2 weeks of schoolwork to be completed within a 48 hour timeframe.

 

If you live in the NE....It'll start affecting it at Sunday night till Thursday.

 

thats why im not doing any work this whole weekend

 

But it is gonna mostly be around Sunday - Tuesday for sure.

Idk about Wednesday and Thursday... but this cone says so:

Edited October 27, 201212 yr by Shana09

Even if it lasts until Thursday I doubt school would be canceled for that long. Unless the school got blown away or something ridiculous.

Even if it lasts until Thursday I doubt school would be canceled for that long. Unless the school got blown away or something ridiculous.

 

Yeah true. Or if theres a flood and electricity is out.

Last year it was Hurricane Irene, now it's Hurricane Sandy Cheeks.

Sandy has a HUGE chance of dealing actual damage towards the Northeast, maybe not directly, but it will be close enough to throw huge gusts of wind here. Now it may not me a tropical storm once it reaches here, where it says here:

http://www.wundergro...01218_5day.html

(In order to understand it, the bigger the circle it is the lesser confidence it has of where exactly it will be in that circle)

It has a chance of combining itself with a Nor'easter, which is a storm that is coming near here by a low trough (aka winter-rain stormy stuff. If it does do that, it will automatically become a lot more dangerous, become a hurricane and possibly a major one and impact the Northeast.

I am making this thread for the people living from North Carolina to New England, maybe even Canada.

Here are some sites where you can check out weather and most specifically, Hurricane stuff:

http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/

http://www.weather.com/

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/

Ill copy and paste some stuff from these sites and other news articles about it. c:

Ill also keep this updated if anyone cares.

 

 

 

 

 

Source: http://www.nj.com/we...affected_b.html

 

 

 

 

Source: http://www.wundergro...l?entrynum=2272

 

 

 

 

 

Source: http://www.weather.c...121022?pageno=1

 

Images:

 

 

It is probably coming on Monday or early Tuesday.

I hope you guys don't get hurt in any way.

Also if you have any questions to ask, then ask them here and I will try my best to help. c:

F u c k , I'm in NJ. *braces self for the pummeling.* This thread is educational though.

F u c k , I'm in NJ. *braces self for the pummeling.* This thread is educational though.

 

The storm is very massive, people from PA, NY, VA and even Delaware is gonna get the worst as well as u. Mostly Delaware, NJ, and NYC.

The storm is very massive, people from PA, NY, VA and even Delaware is gonna get the worst as well as u. Mostly Delaware, NJ, and NYC.

 

Yeah. You know what they called it in my grocery store? FRANKEN STORM

Yeah. You know what they called it in my grocery store? FRANKEN STORM

 

Thats what everyone is calling it.

It's the biggest storm recorded in history, and it's the second Perfect storm.

 

ALSO

APPARENTLY

BLOOMBERG IS UNDERREACTING TO THIS STORM

AND IS MAKING MONDAY

A SCHOOL AND WORK DAY

WHILE A HURRICANE WITH 80+ MPH WIND IS ATTACKING THE CITY

WITH HIGH CHANCE OF FLOOD

 

WHAT THE HECK U DUMB MAYOR

GIVE ME MY DAY OFF

Thats what everyone is calling it.

It's the biggest storm recorded in history, and it's the second Perfect storm.

 

ALSO

APPARENTLY

BLOOMBERG IS UNDERREACTING TO THIS STORM

AND IS MAKING MONDAY

A SCHOOL AND WORK DAY

WHILE A HURRICANE WITH 80+ MPH WIND IS ATTACKING THE CITY

WITH HIGH CHANCE OF FLOOD

 

WHAT THE HECK U DUMB MAYOR

GIVE ME MY DAY OFF

 

Yesterday the news reporter went : "Ever heard the phrase, 'Born ready'? We are, here in (insert nj's city name). If you aren't ready, you either don't live here or aren't born *insert's chuckle*

Well.. I'm sure you guys are used to them.

 

New England will be perfectly fine.

 

And good luck East Coast!

 

You can run but you can't hide....

because you'll probably die.

 

Well.. I'm sure you guys are used to them.

 

New England will be perfectly fine.

 

And good luck East Coast!

 

You can run but you can't hide....

because you'll probably die.

 

 

New England is not fine. It's a massive storm, the 2nd biggest hurricane recorded in the Atlantic Ocean.

New England is gonna get affected as well.

 

but thanks sora

Edited October 28, 201212 yr by Shana09

Lovely....I'll be expecting severe wind and rainy snow on Monday at school....in a trailer....near farms and creeks....and lotsa trees If it were Wednesday I'd be able to say "Happy Wind-sday!" (silly old bear).

 

But seriously, hope everyone stays safe.

 

Winnie the Pooh.

Wet.

Windy.

Possibly severe flooding.

 

Yes it might will.

 

That's exactly what happened. :I

I hope all of you stay safe btw

 

 

A few recons found 100+ mph wind in Sandy, which is a Cata 2!

Pretty much worse.

BREAKING NEWS SANDY CREATES MASSIVE STORM SURGES AS OF NOW

 

 

Massive and dangerous Hurricane Sandy has grown to record size as it barrels northeastwards along the North Carolina coast at 10 mph. At 8 am EDT, Sandy's tropical storm-force winds extended northeastwards 520 miles from the center, and twelve-foot high seas covered a diameter of ocean 1,030 miles across. Since records of storm size began in 1988, only one tropical storm or hurricane has been larger--Tropical Storm Olga of 2001, which had a 690 mile radius of tropical storm-force winds when it was near Bermuda (note: I earlier reported this was a subtropical storm, as per the original NHC advisory, but it was later re-analyzed as a tropical storm.) Sandy has put an colossal volume of ocean water in motion with its widespread and powerful winds, and the hurricane's massive storm surge is already impacting the coast. A 2' storm surge has been recorded at numerous locations this morning from Virginia to Connecticut, including a 3' surge at Virginia's Chesapeake Bay Bridge Tunnel and Sewells Point at 9 am EDT. Huge, 10 - 15 foot-high battering waves on top of the storm surge have washed over Highway 12 connecting North Carolina's Outer Banks to the mainland at South Nags Head this morning. The highway is now impassable, and has been closed. The coast guard station on Cape Hatteras, NC, recorded sustained winds of 50 mph, gusting to 61 mph, at 5:53 am EDT this morning. In Delaware, the coastal highway Route 1 between Dewey Beach and Bethany Beach has been closed due to high water. Even though Sandy is a minimal Category 1 hurricane, its storm surge is extremely dangerous, and if you are in a low-lying area that is asked to evacuate, I strongly recommend that you leave.

Sandy's death toll now at 65

Sandy was a brutal storm for the Caribbean, the storm's death toll now stands at 65. The death toll is highest in Haiti, with 51 deaths. Prime Minister Laurent Lamothe told the Associated Press that "This is a disaster of major proportions. The whole south is under water." Approximately 8 - 10" of rain (200 - 250 mm) fell in the capital of Port-au-Prince. Eleven people were killed in Cuba, where 35,000 homes were damaged or destroyed. Sandy is also being blamed for 1 death in Jamaica, 1 in Puerto Rico, and 1 in the Bahamas.

Intensity and Track Forecast for Sandy

Sandy has a rather unusual structure, with the strongest winds on the southwest side of the center, but a larger area of tropical storm-force winds to the northeast of the center. Most of the storm's heavy thunderstorm activity is on the storm's west side, in a thick band several hundred miles removed from the center, giving Sandy more the appearance of a subtropical storm rather than a hurricane. Satellite loops show that the low-level center of Sandy is no longer exposed to view, and heavy thunderstorms are increasing in areal extent near the center, due to a reduction in wind shear from 35 - 40 knots last night to 25 - 30 knots this morning. Wind shear is expected to drop another 5 knots today, which may allow the storm to build an increased amount of heavy thunderstorms near its center and intensify by 5 - 10 mph over the next 24 hours. The NOAA Hurricane Hunters noted this morning that Sandy had a partial eyewall on the west through SE sides of the center, and the storm may be able to build a nearly complete eyewall by Monday morning. By Monday afternoon, though, Sandy will be moving over cool 25°C waters, which should slow down this intensification process. However, the trough of low pressure that will be pulling Sandy to the northwest towards landfall on Monday will strengthen the storm by injecting "baroclinic" energy--the energy one can derive from the atmosphere when warm and cold air masses lie in close proximity to each other. Sandy should have sustained winds at hurricane force, 75 - 80 mph, at landfall. Sandy's central pressure is expected to drop from its current 951 mb to 945 - 950 mb at landfall Monday night. A pressure this low is extremely rare; according to wunderground weather historian Christopher C. Burt, the lowest pressure ever measured anywhere in the U.S. north of Cape Hatteras, NC, is 946 mb (27.94") measured at the Bellport Coast Guard Station on Long Island, NY on September 21, 1938 during the great "Long Island Express" hurricane. The latest set of 00Z (8 pm EDT) and 06Z (2 am EDT) computer model runs are in agreement that Sandy will make landfall between 10 pm Monday night and 4 am Tuesday morning in New Jersey.

Sandy's storm surge a huge threat

Last night's 9:30 pm EDT H*Wind analysis from NOAA's Hurricane Research Division put the destructive potential of Sandy's winds at a modest 2.6 on a scale of 0 to 6. However, the destructive potential of the storm surge was exceptionally high: 5.7 on a scale of 0 to 6. This is a higher destructive potential than any hurricane observed between 1969 - 2005, including Category 5 storms like Katrina, Rita, Wilma, Camille, and Andrew. The previous highest destructive potential for storm surge was 5.6 on a scale of 0 to 6, set during Hurricane Isabel of 2003. Sandy is now forecast to bring a near-record storm surge of 6 - 11 feet to Northern New Jersey and Long Island Sound, including the New York City Harbor. While Sandy's storm surge will be nowhere near as destructive as Katrina's, the storm surge does have the potential to cause many billions of dollars in damage if it hits near high tide at 9 pm EDT on Monday. The full moon is on Monday, which means astronomical high tide will be about 5% higher than the average high tide for the month. This will add another 2 - 3" to water levels. Fortunately, Sandy is now predicted to make a fairly rapid approach to the coast, meaning that the peak storm surge will not affect the coast for multiple high tide cycles. Sandy's storm surge will be capable of overtopping the flood walls in Manhattan, which are only five feet above mean sea level. On August 28, 2011, Tropical Storm Irene brought a storm surge of 4.13' to Battery Park on the south side of Manhattan. The waters poured over the flood walls into Lower Manhattan, but came 8 - 12" shy of being able to flood the New York City subway system. According to the latest storm surge forecast for NYC from NHC, Sandy's storm surge is expected to be several feet higher than Irene's. If the peak surge arrives near Monday evening's high tide at 9 pm EDT, a portion of New York City's subway system could flood, resulting in billions of dollars in damage. I give a 50% chance that Sandy's storm surge will end up flooding a portion of the New York City subway system.

 

An excellent September 2012 article in the New York Times titled, "New York Is Lagging as Seas and Risks Rise, Critics Warn" quoted Dr. Klaus H. Jacob, a research scientist at Columbia University’s Earth Institute, on how lucky New York City got with Hurricane Irene. If the storm surge from Irene had been just one foot higher, "subway tunnels would have flooded, segments of the Franklin D. Roosevelt Drive and roads along the Hudson River would have turned into rivers, and sections of the commuter rail system would have been impassable or bereft of power," he said, and the subway tunnels under the Harlem and East Rivers would have been unusable for nearly a month, or longer, at an economic loss of about $55 billion. Dr. Jacob is an adviser to the city on climate change, and an author of the 2011 state study that laid out the flooding prospects. “We’ve been extremely lucky,” he said. “I’m disappointed that the political process hasn’t recognized that we’re playing Russian roulette.”

 

Sandy's winds

Sandy will bring sustained winds of tropical storm-force to a 1000-mile swath of coast on Monday and Tuesday. Winds of 55 - 75 mph with gusts over hurricane force will occur along a 500 mile-wide section of coast. With most of the trees still in leaf, there will be widespread power outages due to downed trees, and the potential for several billion dollars in wind damage. A power outage computer model run by Johns Hopkins University predicts that 10 million people will lose power from the storm.

 

Sandy's rains

Sandy's heavy rains are going to cause major but probably not catastrophic river flooding. If we compare the predicted rainfall amounts for Sandy (Figure 5) with those from Hurricane Irene of 2011 (Figure 6), Sandy's are expected to be about 30% less. Hurricane Irene caused $15.8 billion in damage, most of it from river flooding due to heavy rains. However, the region most heavily impacted by Irene's heavy rains had very wet soils and very high river levels before Irene arrived, due to heavy rains that occurred in the weeks before the hurricane hit. That is not the case for Sandy; soil moisture is near average over most of the mid-Atlantic, and is in the lowest 30th percentile in recorded history over much of Delaware and Southeastern Maryland. One region of possible concern is the Susquehanna River Valley in Eastern Pennsylvania, where soil moisture is in the 70th percentile, and river levels are in the 76th - 90th percentile. This area is currently expected to receive 3 - 6 inches of rain (Figure 4), which is probably not enough to cause catastrophic flooding like occurred for Hurricane Irene. I expect that river flooding from Sandy will cause less than $1 billion in damage.

Sandy's snows

You can add heavy snow to the list of weather frights coming for the Eastern U.S. from Sandy. A WInter Storm Watch is posted for much of southeastern West Virginia for Sunday night through Monday, when 2 - 6 inches of wet, heavy snow is expected to fall at elevations below 2000 feet. At higher elevation above 3,000 feet, 1 - 2 feet of snow is possible. With high wind gusts of 35 - 45 mph and many trees still in leaf, the affected area can expect plenty of tree damage and power outages. Lesser snows are expected in the mountains of Virginia, Tennessee, and North Carolina.

 

Sandy's tornado threat is minimal

The severe thunderstorm and tornado threat from Sandy Sunday and Monday looks low, due to minimal instability.

 

Links for Sandy

To find out if you need to evacuate, please contact your local emergency management office. They will have the latest information. People living in New York City can find their evacuation zone here or use this map. FEMA has information on preparing for hurricanes.

 

People with disabilities and caregivers seeking information on accessible shelter and transportation can contactportlight.org

 

Corolla, NC webcam

 

Atlantic City beach cam

 

Statue of Liberty cam

 

An impressive 1-minute resolution satellite loop of Sandy today is at the CSU RAMMB website.

 

This impressive 1-min GOES loop beginning at dawn Saturday shows Sandy's heavy thunderstorms fighting against high wind shear, and the tilt of the vortex to the northeast with height.

 

Our Weather Historian, Christopher C. Burt, has an excellent post on Late Season Tropical Storms that have affected the U.S. north of Hatteras. He also has a post, Historic Hurricanes from New Jersey to New England.

 

3-D "fly-around: of the rain towers of Sandy

 

Hurricane Sandy info from NASA.

 

Joe Romm at climateprogress.org has a thoughtful piece called, How Does Global Warming Make Hurricanes Like Irene More Destructive?

 

For those of you wanting to know your odds of receiving hurricane force or tropical storm force winds, I recommend theNHC wind probability product.

 

Wunderground has detailed storm surge maps for the U.S. coast.

 

The National Hurricane Center's Interactive Storm Surge RIsk Map, which allows one to pick a particular Category hurricane and zoom in, is a good source of storm surge risk information.

 

Storm Surge prediction model from the Stevens Institute of TEchnology, which use a highly detailed 3D ocean model and even includes rainfall and tributary inflows.

 

Research storm surge model run by SUNY Stonybrook for New York City.

 

Climate Central has a nice satellite image showing which parts of New York Harbor are below five feet in elevation.

 

 

And for an extra on the BC, Canada 7.7 earthquake tsunami thing

 

Three-foot tsunami his Hawaii after big quake in Canada

A major magnitude 7.7 earthquake hit 25 miles (40 km) south of Sandspit, British Columbia last night at 8:04 pm PDT. The quake generated a tsunami that raced across the Pacific Ocean and struck Hawaii six hours later. The tsunami reached a height of 2.5 feet in Kahului, Maui, 1.2' at Hilo, and 0.5' in Honolulu. The earthquake was Canada's third largest since 1900. The last stronger quake was a magnitude 7.9 that hit in 1958. The other stronger quake was a magnitude 8.1 that hit in 1949, with an epicenter very close to last night's trembler.

SANDY PICTURES~

 

Weather has been crazy lately.

Sandy doesn't help.

Weather has been crazy lately.

Sandy doesn't help.

 

True.

It's Mother Nature PMS week.

7.7 Earthquake in British Columbia, Canada.

Hurricane Sandy on the east coast.

Tsunami on the west coast of the USA and in Canada, Australia, Japan, Asia etc.

Strong Winter storm in the Midwest going to the East coast from a Low in Canada.

 

yup

so much for the USA

My school will be closed tomorrow and the procrastination amplifies.

My school will be closed tomorrow and the procrastination amplifies.

 

Lucky D:

School and Work offices are still open in NYC, as Bloomberg told us.

 

 

BTW

The Northern part of Middle America (literally dont know what to call it) is gonna be affected by Hurricane Sandy. Anyone around the Great lakes just know that.

Also people in Southern Ontario or anyplace in the eastern areas of Canada, be safe since it's gonna affect you as well. D:

Lucky D:

School and Work offices are still open in NYC, as Bloomberg told us.

 

 

BTW

The Northern part of Middle America (literally dont know what to call it) is gonna be affected by Hurricane Sandy. Anyone around the Great lakes just know that.

Also people in Southern Ontario or anyplace in the eastern areas of Canada, be safe since it's gonna affect you as well. D:

 

I can see why school would be open in the city. When a storm hits the city you don't have trees to start clusterfiretrucking the wires.

I can see why school would be open in the city. When a storm hits the city you don't have trees to start clusterfiretrucking the wires.

 

Yeah, but many kids WALK to school with 80mph wind blasting at them, and many parents have to go to work since work places are open so they wont be picked up.

 

Maybe not wires, but as for traveling? Not a smart move.

 

Also they are shutting down subways which is good, but 8 million New yorkers take the subway to get to work and if they can't use that they're are screwed.

FOR CANADA:

 

WOCN31 CWHX 281745

Tropical cyclone information statement updated by the Canadian

Hurricane Centre of Environment Canada at 2:56 PM ADT Sunday

28 October 2012.

------------------------------------------------- --------------------

Tropical cyclone information statement for:

Nova Scotia

New Brunswick

Southern Quebec

Southern Ontario.

 

For hurricane Sandy.

 

The next statement will be issued by 9:00 PM ADT.

 

Hurricane Sandy to transition to large and dangerous

Post-tropical cyclone on Monday. Parts of Maritimes as well as

Southern Ontario and Quebec will feel some far-reaching effects

From post-tropical storm Sandy later on Monday and Tuesday.

 

------------------------------------------------- --------------------

==discussion==

1. Summary of basic information at 3.00 PM ADT.

 

Location: 32.8 north 71.9 west about 440 kilometres southeast of Cape

Hatteras.

 

Maximum sustained winds: 120 km/h.

 

Present movement: northeast at 22 km/h.

 

Minimum central pressure: 951 MB.

 

2. Public weather impacts and warnings summary.

 

Hurricane Sandy is currently moving northeastward well southeast of

Cape Hatteras. Sandy is forecast to begin moving northward tonight

while maintaining hurricane intensity. On Monday, Sandy is forecast

to gradually transition into a large and intense post-tropical

cyclone as it turns toward the northwest. It is possible that this

transition could intensify the storm slightly prior to moving inland

somewhere along the New Jersey coast late Monday night or Tuesday

morning.

 

It is important to emphasize that impacts from post-tropical Sandy

will extend over a large area well away from the storm center.

Impacts over Canadian territory from Sandy are becoming clearer and

there is less uncertainty with respect to the storm. The public in

the affected regions should pay close attention to messages from the

Canadian Hurricane Centre, as well as forecasts and possible warnings

from regional storm prediction centres.

 

Additional information on potential impacts in Ontario and Quebec

Can be found in the wocn11 special weather statement issued by the

Ontario storm prediction centre, and in the wocn10 special weather

statement issued by the Quebec storm prediction centre.

 

A. Rainfall.

 

Based on the current forecast scenario, rain from post-tropical Sandy

will not begin to affect Canadian territory until late Monday

Into Tuesday morning. Rainfall amounts in this area will vary

greatly with location. Localised areas may see up to 75

Millimetres. Please refer to the wocn11 special weather statement

issued by the Ontario storm prediction centre for more detail on

where the heaviest rain is most likely.

 

Rain could also affect other parts of Quebec with amounts of

20 millimetres likely. Heavy rain Tuesday into early Wednesday is

expected over parts of the southwestern Maritimes associated with a

band of rain not directly associated with Sandy. Amounts in these

areas could exceed 50 millimetres.

 

The precipitation could mix with or change to snow over parts of

South-Central Ontario and extreme Western Quebec as temperatures

approach the freezing mark north and west of the storm.

 

The Maritimes will likely see significant rainfall late Monday night

and Tuesday, and possibly lingering into Wednesday, from an evolving

frontal system wrapping around the large upper-level circulation from

post-tropical Sandy.

 

B. Winds.

 

Most areas of Southern Ontario will be subject to very windy

conditions with possible severe gusts in excess of 100 km/h

especially along Western Lake Ontario and the Niagara Escarpment.

These gusts could cause broken tree limbs or in some cases uprooted

trees which may result in downed utility lines. Residual falling

leaves can also obstruct storm water drainage systems along roadways

particularly in urban areas. This combined with heavy rainfall could

increase the risk of flooding in some areas.

 

Very strong northeast winds will also affect eastern and Western

Quebec. There is a good probability of wind gusts exceeding 90 km/h.

Gusty winds can also be expected in the Maritimes especially Monday

night.

 

C. Waves.

 

Large waves are very likely over portions of the Great Lakes

beginning late Monday and into Tuesday. High seastates up to 6

metres are likely over Southern Lake Huron.

 

There will be a risk for large waves and pounding surf along the

Atlantic coast of Nova Scotia, especially along the south shore, as

wave activity begins to increase beginning late Monday and peaks on

Tuesday. These large waves could produce pounding surf conditions

and possibly locally elevated water levels.

 

3. Marine weather impacts and warnings summary.

 

Gale force winds extend several hundred kilometres outward from the

center of Sandy's circulation and are expected to spread to Canadian

waters well in advance of Sandy reaching the United States coastline.

The Ontario storm prediction centre has issued gale warnings for many

parts of the Southern Great Lakes for Monday. The Atlantic storm

prediction centre has issued storm force wind warnings and gale

warnings for western maritime marine waters for Monday as well.

 

Also, higher than normal water levels are expected on the St Lawrence

River during high tide Monday evening and especially Tuesday evening.

This could result in coastal flooding in the Quebec City region.

 

Visit weatheroffice.Gc.Ca/hurricane (all in lower case) for the

latest:

 

- forecast position, central pressure table.

 

- strength and predicted wind radii table.

 

- hurricane track information map.

 

- technical discussion.

 

Please also refer to the public and marine forecasts and warnings

issued by Environment Canada for your area.

 

End

Well... good luck. be careful

Well... good luck. be careful

 

Thanks uwu

You too if you're gonna be affected as well.

Thanks uwu

You too if you're gonna be affected as well.

 

I live in Veracruz, Mexico... so I´m safe, but as in my country Hurricanes are a common event, we know the consecuences of these so, be careful

Edited October 28, 201212 yr by Blacksun30